Unsettled, but signs are there pointing to a good end to summer

It’s been a disappointing week with some days letting us know that summer will soon be gone and autumn is coming, reports Oldham weather expert Jon Baylis.

We have further wind and rain to come as areas of low pressure bringing unsettled conditions to our region over the coming days.

August 2024 so far, has been much drier-than-average conditions, with only 23mm of rain falling in Chadderton.

The average for the whole month is 92mm.

Jon has records since 2013 and August 2024 currently has an average temperature (day and night) of 16.5°C.

This is the second warmest he's recorded, with only August 2022 (17.6°C) coming in warmer.

One area of low pressure with have the remnants of ex-Hurricane Ernesto mixed in.

Apart from some unseasonal windy weather, there’s nothing much to worry about, with the worst of the winds out in the Irish Sea.

Here's Jon's latest in-depth forecast:

Tomorrow (Thursday): A wet and windy morning is expected with 40mph gusts as a band of rain moves through.

A few hours of heavy rain likely before the afternoon improves with bright spells and a drier and sunnier end to the day.

Winds easing into the evening. 

Max 18°C Min 11°C.

Friday: Another area of low pressure looks to form quickly and race across the area.

So Friday will start wet with rain during the early hours, turning showery into the morning.

Showers will tend to ease later in the day and more in the way of sunshine is expected.

This low pressure is expected to bring more windy weather.

Gusts could reach 40-50mph during the morning before the winds transfer away to the northeast.

Given the time of year, don’t be surprised to see a weather warning issued as the low deepens across northern England. 

Max 18°C Min 10°C.

Weekend: Windy with showers but some sunshine too.

Saturday: With the two recent areas of low pressure moving on, we still remain in a mobile set-up thanks to the Jet Stream.

Since we are in between systems, then a day of showers and sunny spells looks to be the order of the day.

Windy and fresh air in place. 

Max 17°C Min 11°C.

Sunday: Albeit remaining breezy, on the whole it looks a better day with the odd shower and sunny spells.

With the weather in a bit of an unsettled pattern, forecasts can change quickly, so look out for updates on X.

Milder air filtering in overnight. 

Max 18°C Min 13°C.

Bank Holiday Monday: A little bit warmer but mostly cloudy with some brightness.

Rain won’t be too far away, to our northwest, with the potential for it to arrive later in the day. Breezy. 

Max 21°C Min 14°C.

Outlook: At the time of writing it looks like the weather will become warmer and sunnier for the final few days of August, and perhaps even to start autumn (standard behaviour as the kids return to school) as high pressure slips in from the southwest at times.

Of course, it’s a long way off, so take it with a pinch of salt but fingers crossed we can see a late summer-burst with temperatures close to the mid-20s.

Follow @ChadWeather on X for the latest forecasts and warnings.

---

Do you have a story for us? Want to tell us about something going on in and around Oldham? Let us know by emailing news@oldham-chronicle.co.uk , calling our Oldham-based newsroom on 0161 633 2121 , tweeting us @oldhamchronicle or messaging us through our Facebook page. All contact will be treated in confidence.