It's getting warmer and feeling more like summer

Oldham weather expert Jon Baylis hinted a few weeks ago in the Chronicle that the latter part of June should finally bring some warmer weather, and this now looks like being the case.

Jon is no Mystic Meg, but June just had to improve at some point as it was so bad.

The warmer feel to our weather started yesterday, Wednesday, with highs of 20°C and sunny spells.

Very pleasant indeed, and personally Jon prefers that to any sweaty, humid heatwave.

Of course the warmer temperatures will lift the June average, as currently it was at values we would expect to see in October, but it won't be the "warmest" on record like May was (see last week's post for more information).

So why is it getting warmer?

It's all down to a shift in the Jet Stream which will move north meaning we'll be on the southern flank where the warmer air is.

Here's Jon's latest in-depth forecast:

Today (Thursday): A cloudy start with some early mist then warm sunny spells will break through.

Dry and feeling pleasant. 

Max 22°C Min 13°C.

Friday: Warm with sunny spells but cloud will build later from the west turning the sun hazy.

Chance of some patchy rain into the late-evening. Warm. 

Max 21°C Min 12°C.

Weekend: A bit of a blip on Saturday with Sunday the better day.

Saturday: Early cloudy conditions with some patchy rain and showers.

Showers will ease and the weather-front will weaken and some sunny spells are expected later. 

Max 20°C Min 11°C.

Sunday: A better day in prospect with warm sunny spells.

Cloud bubbling up at times but remaining dry. Feeling warmer. 

Max 21°C Min 12°C.

Outlook: High pressure will mostly control the weather and with a southerly breeze it will gradually become warmer with sunny spells.

Temperatures likely to reach 22-24°C, perhaps the probability of 25-26°C as the week progresses, but from midweek it is uncertain how the weather will pan out.

Some models go hot for England and Wales with a heatwave developing, others show a breakdown from the west to a cooler and showery theme.

That said, at least the weather for now is turning more to what we would like to expect in June and certainly more summery.

In summary: Heatwave potential later next week, but far from certain and more favourable for the South East of the UK.

Any heatwave could well be followed by a thundery breakdown which isn't unusual.

Follow @ChadWeather on X for the latest forecasts and warnings.

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